Performance by the numbers

I have been absent from youtube for some time, and absent from Gun Nuts for even longer. I’ll spare ya’ll the boring details, but this image is a big part of why I was gone:

But anyway, enough of that. Today I wanted to talk about an interesting revelation I had while I was taking breaks from doing mountains of paperwork in my office. A friend of mine linked to an old, and I do mean old youtube video of mine where I’m shooting a Glock, and it sort of got me thinking about “what guns do I shoot the best?”

See, everyone has guns that they like, and guns that they feel like they shoot well. But what about the actual numbers? I’ve always felt like I shot 1911s better than anything else, but was that actually true? The reason I started thinking about this because I saw an old video of me shooting a Glock…and it seemed like I was shooting it very well.

Thankfully, I have mountains of data saved up over the years, so I can actually compare! Even better, the majority of my data is from 2011-2013, which I’d say was when I was at my best as a shooter; that’s when I scored all of my 85% or better classifiers, and put in all of my personal records on benchmark drills like the FAST, Bill Drills, and the IDPA classifier. Because I’m anal about data, I actually have records.

Basically, what I did was I compared scores/times/percentages on the same courses of fire when I’d fired them with different models of guns. As example, my best time on the IDPA classifier with a 1911 was in the mid 80s, my best time with a Glock 21 was in the mid 70s. Similarly, my classifier average is higher when I’m shooting Glocks than it is with any other platform. I set my PR on Steel Challenge…with a Glock. In fact, the only match I have never shot with a Glock is Bianchi Cup. That’s too bad because having that data would be nice.

What’s interesting about all of this is that if you’d asked me what I shoot best, I would have without question said 1911s. As it turns out, that’s not true. What all this means is that you shouldn’t trust your feelings, because they’ll lie to you. My feelings told me I shot 1911s best, but my feelings were wrong and dumb. I shoot Glocks better than I shoot anything else, and it’s by a statistically significant margin.

I have never shot the Triple Nickel under a 5.00 with any other gun, but there it is with a Gen4 Glock 21 and factory ammo. I actually shot that gun very well, and sort of wish I had never stopped shooting it, but after 10,000 rounds of steel cased ammo I was ready to move off .45s for a while.

I want to leave this post with a thought: don’t trust your feelings. Trust the data. More importantly, track your data. I’m not going to sell all my 1911s and buy Glocks, but at the same time…it’s nice to know what works best for me based on facts.

5 thoughts on “Performance by the numbers”

  1. What do you think is reason, or what does your data suggest are the reason(s) for achieving better times with the Glock? Which firearm do you personally enjoy shooting more? Congrats on the desk plaque 😉

  2. Great post, Caleb. And, welcome back.
    It would be interesting to see Glock 17 v Glock 22 v Glock 21 data.

  3. Glad to have you back.
    But you spoiled the image; we thought for sure you were in jail!

  4. Interesting. My first thought while reading this post was double stack magwells vs single stack magwell. And I use the term magwell very loosely here. How many reloads on the clock for the (old) classifier? The FAST drill is all accuracy but of course there is a critical reload involved there as well.

    Maybe I just don’t shoot well enough but I’ve never seen the need to put an aftermarket magwell on a double stacked pistol. However on a single stack pistol it’s as necessary as replacing the factory sights on any pistol.

    Secondly I wonder how the recoil impulse differs in the polymer pistols vs the all steel 1911. Conventional wisdom, science or both will tell you more weight will dampen the felt recoil but maybe the flexing polymer frame takes even more bite out of a 45 ACP.

    Because it’s definitely not because the Glock has a better trigger than a 1911.

    How does your Beretta Px4 data stack up against the 1911 data? Just wondering since it is a double stack at least and a polymer framed pistol but of course the calibres are different.

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